Overshove
Blog

Notes on tracking, variance and study.

Writing for serious live players. No hype, no win-rate promises, just the maths and the habits that compound.

Close up, warm side lighting picks out scuffed edges on an upright dark poker chip stack

Start here

New to live cash? Follow a study path on the Learn page.

  1. Log the session

    Total in, total out and playing time, recorded while the details are fresh.

  2. Read the swings

    See how wide a winning player's results can be before judging a losing stretch.

  3. Review one decision

    Price the call, test the read and leave with one precise question.

Articles and lessons

Showing 7 of 7

A player in a cap and hoodie rests their cheek on a fist, looking down at two protected cards beside two dark chip stacks
LessonOct 2026 · 6 min

How to review a poker hand in ten minutes

A five-step routine with a timer: rebuild the hand, separate facts from reads, price the call and test the read.

Timer and price checkRead →
Amber light catches the worn edges of a tall, dark chip stack on poker felt
Session trackingJun 2026 · 5 min

Table profit and your after-expenses hourly

Calculate cash-game table profit, include every rebuy, then account for additional expenses and travel time without deducting rake or chip-paid tips twice.

Hourly calculatorRead →
Looking down at red poker felt, a capped player holds a fist to their mouth beside white chip stacks
VarianceJun 2026 · 5 min

How deep is a normal downswing?

There is no universal safe downswing depth. Separate observed drawdown, model assumptions and hand review before interpreting a losing stretch.

Results range explorerRead →
Seen from behind, a capped player faces a seated dealer across a blue poker table
Study & leaksMay 2026 · 5 min

What session length can tell you about your play

Review session length without assuming an hour-four decline. Whole-session totals cannot isolate late-hour profit or establish whether fatigue caused a loss.

Session comparisonRead →
Next to a red chip stack, two protected face-down cards lie above a notebook and pen on the poker rail
Session trackingMay 2026 · 5 min

Logging live without being that guy

Overshove founder Tom explains his after-session habit: record total buy-ins including rebuys, money taken out and playing time while the details are fresh.

Session reconcilerRead →
Behind a notebook on the wooden poker rail, a dark chip stack stands beside protected face-down cards
Study & leaksApr 2026 · 4 min

Reading the same faces

Keep useful notes on recurring opponents without turning one showdown into a permanent label. Separate observed action, context and your interpretation.

Note sorting quizRead →
Two face-down navy cards under a flat ivory protector chip beside two upright burgundy chip stacks on dark felt
LessonOct 2026 · 6 min

Pot odds for live cash

The price of every common bet size, how rake and extra players change it, and where the 4-2 rule misleads.

Calculator and drillsRead →

What this blog is for

The blog is the public version of the Overshove review loop: track the session, respect the sample, find the leak, make one cleaner decision next time. Most pieces start with a poker number because a vague feeling is not enough to move stakes, stop a session, or decide whether a downswing is normal.

Read the variance posts when your graph is trying to talk you into panic. Read the session-tracking posts when the sample has holes. Read the study posts when the same mistake keeps showing up in different clothes.

Each article separates a measurement from a conclusion. A session result is a measurement. Calling the player a proven winner, blaming variance or diagnosing a leak is a conclusion that needs more evidence. Worked examples state their assumptions, and product claims stay inside the current public scope.

Start with the session log if your history is incomplete. Move to bankroll and variance once the totals reconcile. Use the study pieces after you have marked decisions worth reviewing. This order is deliberately less exciting than a promise to fix a win rate, but it keeps the record useful when results turn.

The aim is a record you can still trust after the next difficult session.

How should you use a worked example?

Replace the example stake, hours, costs and swing rate with your own measured inputs. If a field is unknown, test a range rather than choosing the value that supports the answer you want. Calculators explain the arithmetic; they do not remove the uncertainty in a small or selectively logged sample.